FourthwiseFinal2026 seasonDIVISION10–31
KCKansas City ChiefsKC1–0 · AFC West · 1stRegular · Week 1
Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Game prediction
Game win probability
The latest published prediction for this matchup. Early predictions may update before the final T−60 prediction.
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs?
Denver Broncos is projected to win with a 58.1% win probability, compared with 41.9% for Kansas City Chiefs.
Early predictionDenver BroncosDEN projected to win
DEN58.1%
KC41.9%
- Prediction cutoff
- Sep 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM EDT
- Published
- Generated 13 days ago Sep 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM EDT
Statistical estimate — not a guarantee. For informational purposes only. Legal & disclosures
Why?See what moved the prediction and what is game context.
Matchup analytics
How the units compare
Recent-form team evidence available before this Game. The window grows from current-season results up to five completed weeks and falls back to the prior season when none exist yet. These analytics provide context; they do not explain what caused the model prediction.
Early-season intelligence
What changed since last season?
Continuity and personnel context only — not a prediction or synthetic team score.