FourthwiseWeekly forecast
Predictions
Weekly NFL games, published model picks, and straight-up season results.
Statistical estimate — not a guarantee. For informational purposes only. Legal & disclosures
Current week
2026 Week 2
2026 Week 2 predictions shown
Detroit Lions (DET)atBuffalo Bills (BUF)
- Detroit Lions (DET) win probability
- 40.8%
- Buffalo Bills (BUF) win probability
- 59.2%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills?
Buffalo Bills is projected to win with a 59.2% win probability, compared with 40.8% for Detroit Lions.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Cleveland Browns (CLE)atTampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)
- Cleveland Browns (CLE) win probability
- 36.4%
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB) win probability
- 63.6%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers is projected to win with a 63.6% win probability, compared with 36.4% for Cleveland Browns.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)atTennessee Titans (TEN)
- Philadelphia Eagles (PHI) win probability
- 78.7%
- Tennessee Titans (TEN) win probability
- 21.3%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Philadelphia Eagles at Tennessee Titans?
Philadelphia Eagles is projected to win with a 78.7% win probability, compared with 21.3% for Tennessee Titans.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
New Orleans Saints (NO)atBaltimore Ravens (BAL)
- New Orleans Saints (NO) win probability
- 28.6%
- Baltimore Ravens (BAL) win probability
- 71.4%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens?
Baltimore Ravens is projected to win with a 71.4% win probability, compared with 28.6% for New Orleans Saints.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Carolina Panthers (CAR)atAtlanta Falcons (ATL)
- Carolina Panthers (CAR) win probability
- 40.1%
- Atlanta Falcons (ATL) win probability
- 59.9%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons?
Atlanta Falcons is projected to win with a 59.9% win probability, compared with 40.1% for Carolina Panthers.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT)atNew England Patriots (NE)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT) win probability
- 49.1%
- New England Patriots (NE) win probability
- 50.9%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots?
New England Patriots is projected to win with a 50.9% win probability, compared with 49.1% for Pittsburgh Steelers.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Minnesota Vikings (MIN)atChicago Bears (CHI)
- Minnesota Vikings (MIN) win probability
- 51.6%
- Chicago Bears (CHI) win probability
- 48.4%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears?
Minnesota Vikings is projected to win with a 51.6% win probability, compared with 48.4% for Chicago Bears.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Cincinnati Bengals (CIN)atHouston Texans (HOU)
- Cincinnati Bengals (CIN) win probability
- 36.7%
- Houston Texans (HOU) win probability
- 63.3%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans?
Houston Texans is projected to win with a 63.3% win probability, compared with 36.7% for Cincinnati Bengals.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Green Bay Packers (GB)atNew York Jets (NYJ)
- Green Bay Packers (GB) win probability
- 63.9%
- New York Jets (NYJ) win probability
- 36.1%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Green Bay Packers at New York Jets?
Green Bay Packers is projected to win with a 63.9% win probability, compared with 36.1% for New York Jets.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)atDenver Broncos (DEN)
- Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX) win probability
- 41.0%
- Denver Broncos (DEN) win probability
- 59.0%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos?
Denver Broncos is projected to win with a 59.0% win probability, compared with 41.0% for Jacksonville Jaguars.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)atLos Angeles Chargers (LAC)
- Las Vegas Raiders (LV) win probability
- 27.7%
- Los Angeles Chargers (LAC) win probability
- 72.3%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers?
Los Angeles Chargers is projected to win with a 72.3% win probability, compared with 27.7% for Las Vegas Raiders.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Seattle Seahawks (SEA)atArizona Cardinals (ARI)
- Seattle Seahawks (SEA) win probability
- 73.8%
- Arizona Cardinals (ARI) win probability
- 26.2%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals?
Seattle Seahawks is projected to win with a 73.8% win probability, compared with 26.2% for Arizona Cardinals.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Washington Commanders (WAS)atDallas Cowboys (DAL)
- Washington Commanders (WAS) win probability
- 42.6%
- Dallas Cowboys (DAL) win probability
- 57.4%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys?
Dallas Cowboys is projected to win with a 57.4% win probability, compared with 42.6% for Washington Commanders.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Miami Dolphins (MIA)atSan Francisco 49ers (SF)
- Miami Dolphins (MIA) win probability
- 31.1%
- San Francisco 49ers (SF) win probability
- 68.9%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Miami Dolphins at San Francisco 49ers?
San Francisco 49ers is projected to win with a 68.9% win probability, compared with 31.1% for Miami Dolphins.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
Indianapolis Colts (IND)atKansas City Chiefs (KC)
- Indianapolis Colts (IND) win probability
- 36.0%
- Kansas City Chiefs (KC) win probability
- 64.0%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs?
Kansas City Chiefs is projected to win with a 64.0% win probability, compared with 36.0% for Indianapolis Colts.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
New York Giants (NYG)atLos Angeles Rams (LA)
- New York Giants (NYG) win probability
- 26.9%
- Los Angeles Rams (LA) win probability
- 73.1%
Quick answer
Who is projected to win New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams?
Los Angeles Rams is projected to win with a 73.1% win probability, compared with 26.9% for New York Giants.
Published ahead of the final cutoff. This prediction may update before kickoff.
- Published
Why?
Prediction details aren’t available for this game.
2026 regular season · Published predictions
Season performance
- Correct
- 9
- Incorrect
- 7
- Evaluated
- 16
- Accuracy
- 56.3%
- Pending
- 16
- Not evaluable
- 0
Historical evaluation
Model performance
64.2% held-out accuracy271 games · Sep 5, 2025 – Jan 5, 2026 UTC
A temporal holdout measures model performance on later games excluded from training. Historical results do not guarantee future predictions.
- Accuracy
- 64.2%Share of held-out winners picked correctly.
- Brier score
- 0.226Probability error; lower is better.
- Log loss
- 0.643Penalizes confident wrong predictions; lower is better.
- Evaluation sample
- 271 gamesSep 5, 2025 – Jan 5, 2026 UTC
Fixed-bin expected calibration error 0.028898738 across 10 bins.
Previous results · Published predictions
Week 1 scorecard
- Correct
- 9
- Incorrect
- 7
- Evaluated
- 16
- Accuracy
- 56.3%
- Pending
- 0
- Not evaluable
- 0