FourthwiseScheduled2026 seasonCONFERENCE
JAXJacksonville JaguarsJAX1–0 · AFC South · 1stRegular · Week 3
New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
Market odds
Current lines
Consensus across available sportsbooks.
Game prediction
Game win probability
The latest published prediction for this matchup. Early predictions may update before the final T−60 prediction.
Quick answer
Who is projected to win New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars?
Jacksonville Jaguars is projected to win with a 56.7% win probability, compared with 43.3% for New England Patriots.
Early predictionJacksonville JaguarsJAX projected to win
NE43.3%
JAX56.7%
- Prediction cutoff
- Sep 17, 2026 · 8:00 AM EDT
- Published
- Generated 9 hours ago Sep 17, 2026 · 8:00 AM EDT
Statistical estimate — not a guarantee. For informational purposes only. Legal & disclosures
Why?See what moved the prediction and what is game context.
Matchup analytics
How the units compare
Recent-form team evidence available before this Game. The window grows from current-season results up to five completed weeks and falls back to the prior season when none exist yet. These analytics provide context; they do not explain what caused the model prediction.
Early-season intelligence
What changed since last season?
Continuity and personnel context only — not a prediction or synthetic team score.