FourthwiseFinal2026 seasonCONFERENCE36–31
HOUHouston TexansHOU0–1 · AFC South · 2ndRegular · Week 1
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans
Game prediction
Game win probability
The latest published prediction for this matchup. Early predictions may update before the final T−60 prediction.
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans?
Houston Texans is projected to win with a 50.2% win probability, compared with 49.8% for Buffalo Bills.
Early predictionHouston TexansHOU projected to win
BUF49.8%
HOU50.2%
- Prediction cutoff
- Sep 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM EDT
- Published
- Generated 13 days ago Sep 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM EDT
Statistical estimate — not a guarantee. For informational purposes only. Legal & disclosures
Why?See what moved the prediction and what is game context.
Matchup analytics
How the units compare
Recent-form team evidence available before this Game. The window grows from current-season results up to five completed weeks and falls back to the prior season when none exist yet. These analytics provide context; they do not explain what caused the model prediction.
Early-season intelligence
What changed since last season?
Continuity and personnel context only — not a prediction or synthetic team score.