FourthwiseFinal2026 seasonDIVISION22–24
PHIPhiladelphia EaglesPHI1–0 · NFC East · 2ndRegular · Week 1
Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles
Game prediction
Game win probability
The latest published prediction for this matchup. Early predictions may update before the final T−60 prediction.
Quick answer
Who is projected to win Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles?
Philadelphia Eagles is projected to win with a 71.8% win probability, compared with 28.2% for Washington Commanders.
Early predictionPhiladelphia EaglesPHI projected to win
WAS28.2%
PHI71.8%
- Prediction cutoff
- Sep 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM EDT
- Published
- Generated 13 days ago Sep 4, 2026 · 2:30 AM EDT
Statistical estimate — not a guarantee. For informational purposes only. Legal & disclosures
Why?See what moved the prediction and what is game context.
Matchup analytics
How the units compare
Recent-form team evidence available before this Game. The window grows from current-season results up to five completed weeks and falls back to the prior season when none exist yet. These analytics provide context; they do not explain what caused the model prediction.
Early-season intelligence
What changed since last season?
Continuity and personnel context only — not a prediction or synthetic team score.